Nearly 20% of GDP to be Spent on Healthcare By 2020
National healthcare spending is expected to grow by an average of 5.8% a year through 2020 as the economic recovery spurs higher utilization, the population grows, and an estimated 30 million people receive health insurance coverage under the Affordable Care Act, according to a study in Health Affairs.
Under that rate of growth, the percentage of gross domestic product spent on health expenditures is projected to increase from 17.6% in 2010, to 19.8% in 2020. The Health Affairs study also projects that the average annual per capita national healthcare expenditure will increase from $8,327 in 2010 to $13,708 by 2020, representing an annual average growth of 4.9%.
In 2014, healthcare cost growth is expected to surge by 8.3% because of implementation of major components of the ACA, according to the study: National Health Spending Projections Through 2020: Economic Recovery And Reform Drive Faster Spending Growth.
If the ACA were not in place, however, the study projected that the pace of healthcare cost growth would decrease by only .1% from the projected 5.8% rate of growth. Basically, the ACA's cost savings and expenditures would balance out, the study projected.
John Commins is a senior editor with HealthLeaders Media.
- Primary Care Docs Average More Hospital Revenue Than Specialists
- How Chargemaster Data May Affect Hospital Revenue
- $6.4B Henry Ford, Beaumont Merger Failed on Cultural Hurdles
- House Lawmakers Grill CMS Over Health Exchange Navigators
- Fortunately, Angelina Jolie Isn't On Medicare
- ED Physicians Key to Half of Hospital Admissions
- Insurer's App Aims to Lower Healthcare Costs, Securely
- Don't Let Nurses Sink Your Bottom Line
- 69% of Employers Plan to Offer Healthcare Coverage After 2014
- Q&A: Catholic Health Initiatives' New Senior VP for Capital Finance