Skip to main content

'Difficult Winter Ahead' for Hospitals Amid COVID-19 Surge

Analysis  |  By Jack O'Brien  
   December 21, 2020

Hospital operating margins fell while expenses rose above budget expectations, according to the latest Kaufman Hall Flash Report.

Hospital revenues and volumes declined across most metrics during November but inpatient volumes increased as COVID-19 hospitalizations rose, according to the latest Kaufman Hall Flash Report released Monday morning.

For the first time this year, inpatient volumes eclipsed 2019 levels as patient days were up 4% in November, according to Kaufman Hall. Meanwhile, discharges fell 5.1% year-over-year and the average length of stay rose 8.7% over the same period.

Additionally, hospital operating margins fell while expenses rose above budget expectations, the study found. Kaufman Hall indicated that another surge in COVID-19 cases is leading to a "difficult winter ahead."

"U.S. hospitals and health systems will face untold challenges in the months ahead," Jim Blake, a managing director at Kaufman Hall, said in a statement. "Even with millions of doses of COVID-19 vaccine now in distribution, the virus is expected to continue its rapid spread and further strain vital healthcare facilities that already face limited resources and serious capacity issues. Now is the timeโ€”we must support our nation's hospitals."

Related: Spectrum Health CFO's Advice for Hospitals Heading Into a Dark Winter

In November, inpatient revenue and outpatient revenue declined 0.6% and 6%, year-to-date. 

Meanwhile, another challenge arose for health systems: expenses. 

Year-to-date, total expense per adjusted discharge rose 14%, labor expense per adjusted discharge rose 15.2%, and non-labor expense per adjusted discharge rose 14.2%.

Over the same period, drug expense per adjusted discharge increased 16%, and purchased service expense per adjusted discharge rose 20%.

Related: UAB Health System CFO Reflects on 2020 Challenges, 'Silver Linings'

According to last month's Flash Report, adjusted discharges for October 2020 were down 9.3% compared to October 2019.

Kaufman Hall also found that the total expense per adjusted discharge rose 12.2% year-over-year.

Related: Hospitals Entering 'Grave Period' of COVID-19 Pandemic

Jack O'Brien is the Content Team Lead and Finance Editor at HealthLeaders, an HCPro brand.


Get the latest on healthcare leadership in your inbox.