As Senate Republicans push forward with the “Big Beautiful Bill” CFOs across the country are sounding alarms about the potential effects.
The Senate GOP's "Big Beautiful Bill" now proposes more severe Medicaid cuts than the House version, including capping provider taxes and reducing supplemental payments to hospitals.
The phased reduction of the maximum allowable provider tax rate is one of the most contentious components in the bill; the Senate draft proposes a provider tax rate drop from 6% to 3.5% in Medicaid expansion states. This is a huge drop off from the House bill, which would only freeze provider tax rates at current levels, according to Politico. Although nursing and intermediate care facilities would be exempt, the Senate plan would start phasing in the cap in 2027 and fully enact it by 2031.
While moderate Republicans express concern that the bill's Medicaid changes could harm rural hospitals, (which rely heavily on Medicaid funding), more conservative senators argue that the bill doesn't go far enough in reducing the national debt. With a slim majority, Senate Republicans can only afford to lose three votes, and disagreements over Medicaid provisions and the debt ceiling could further complicate matters.
The bill, which includes more than $200 billion in federal spending cuts to Medicaid over the next decade, has triggered alarm bells in health systems already operating on razor-thin margins and serving large Medicaid populations.
Ongoing negotiations and revisions indicate that the final version of the bill may differ significantly from both the House and Senate proposals.
The CFO POV
Following HealthLeaders’ prior coverage on the looming crisis of uncompensated care, CFOs are now preparing their organizations for the potential financial fallout. For one major Arizona health system, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
“With more than 25% of our patients covered by Medicaid, we are watching the federal debate very closely and have engaged with our delegation,” said Brad Hipp, CFO of Tucson Medical Center (TMC).
Arizona’s situation is particularly complex. The state already has a Medicaid work requirement on the books, set to take effect next year, pending federal approval. That policy may be accelerated—or constrained—depending on the final decisions in the reconciliation bill.
Hipp emphasized the importance of state flexibility.
“We are concerned that any federal requirement has the flexibility to be customized by states to meet their unique challenges,” he said.
Advocacy in Full Force
Unlike the behind-the-scenes maneuvering that so often typifies budget season in Washington, this time hospitals are going public with their concerns. Hipp said his organization’s multi-tiered advocacy effort includes lobbying and grassroots engagement with the local business community.
“Our team has been very proactive in lobbying both as an individual health system and through our associations,” he said. “We have brought our business community together so they understand the impact cuts to hospitals have on the broader communities and businesses—and they have stood with us.”
This broader messaging strategy reflects a shift among healthcare finance leaders: Medicaid is no longer seen solely as a safety-net program, it’s a critical pillar of state and economic stability.
Operational Efficiency In The Spotlight
Even as they lobby to prevent cuts, health systems are bracing for impact.
“We are actively advocating but also continuing to focus on operational efficiency and cost savings so we can weather any changes in reimbursement,” Hipp said.
This includes everything from re-evaluating vendor contracts and staffing models, to expanding care partnerships that offer more predictable revenue streams.
The Real Cost of Medicaid Cuts
For CFOs, the potential effects of the bill extend far beyond their balance sheets.
“It’s important for lawmakers to understand that cuts to Medicaid don’t just impact the individual who loses coverage—it impacts all of us,” Hipp said. “We know from experience that when you cut Medicaid, emergency rooms get more crowded and wait times grow, hospitals reduce staff, and in some cases close.”
Marie DeFreitas is the CFO editor for HealthLeaders.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The Senate bill proposes steeper Medicaid cuts than the House version, including reduced provider tax rates and hospital payments.
CFOs warn the cuts could force service line reductions, crowd ERs, and severely threaten financial stability.
Health systems are lobbying hard and tightening operations to prepare for potential financial fallout.