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Former NAIC Exec Puts AHCA Passage Odds at 50/50

Analysis  |  By Christopher Cheney  
   June 19, 2017

A former president of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, who is also a former member of Congress, describes the potential fate of the bill intended to repeal Obamacare.

This is the second of two parts. Read Part 1.

In Congress, sometimes a crushing legislative defeat is the clearest path to political victory.

The American Health Care Act, the Republican Party's best hope to repeal Obamacare this year, has 50/50 odds of passage in Congress and GOP lawmakers could soon be hoping their big bet goes bust, says Earl Pomeroy.

From 1993 to 2011, Pomeroy, a Democrat, represented his state in the US House of Representatives and served on the Ways and Means committee. Now, he is working in Washington as senior counsel at Atlanta-based law firm Alston & Bird LLP.

Pomeroy served as state insurance commissioner in North Dakota from 1985 to 1992. And from 1990 to 1991, he was president of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners.

In the first half of his interview with HealthLeaders, Pomeroy gave his views on the fate of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. In this installment, he talks about the AHCA's prospects for passage. The transcript below has been lightly edited.

HLM: What is your prediction on passage of the AHCA?

Pomeroy: I expect the Senate will barely pass a bill, then present it to the House on a take-it-or-leave-it basis, which they will take. I give equal odds to the notion that the Senate will come up just short and can't get the votes for the AHCA, then they leave healthcare and go on to other issues.


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Christopher Cheney is the senior clinical care​ editor at HealthLeaders.

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